Flow control equipment manufacturer Flowserve (NYSE:FLS) reported Q1 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 5.2% year on year to $1.14 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.72 per share was 19.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Flowserve (FLS) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.14 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.1 billion (5.2% year-on-year growth, 3.6% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.72 vs analyst estimates of $0.60 (19.6% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $171.5 million vs analyst estimates of $144.8 million (15% margin, 18.4% beat)
- Management reiterated its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $3.20 at the midpoint
- Operating Margin: 11.5%, up from 10.4% in the same quarter last year
- Free Cash Flow was -$61.67 million, down from $48.65 million in the same quarter last year
- Backlog: $2.9 billion at quarter end, up 11.1% year on year
- Market Capitalization: $6.64 billion
StockStory’s Take
Flowserve’s first quarter results were shaped by robust aftermarket demand and strong execution across its business systems. CEO Scott Rowe credited the company's performance to high service levels in its aftermarket division, which secured a major nuclear power plant upgrade, and to operational improvements from the 80-20 complexity reduction program. CFO Amy Schwetz noted that early-year price increases and disciplined cost control further supported margin expansion, while the integration of recent acquisitions, such as MOGAS, contributed positively to earnings.
Management’s forward-looking guidance remains cautious, with attention to the evolving tariff environment and macroeconomic uncertainties. Rowe explained that Flowserve’s global manufacturing footprint and ability to shift sourcing are central to mitigating tariff impacts, but he acknowledged that sustained uncertainty or further trade policy changes could pressure future bookings. Schwetz reiterated guidance for margin expansion, attributing confidence to operational levers and ongoing benefits from the Flowserve Business System, while emphasizing the company’s readiness to respond quickly if conditions deteriorate.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Flowserve’s first quarter was influenced by high aftermarket activity, strong nuclear sector orders, and progress in operational initiatives. Management highlighted several factors impacting both the quarter’s performance and the company’s outlook amid a shifting trade landscape.
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Aftermarket and Nuclear Orders: Aftermarket bookings reached nearly $690 million, including a significant nuclear power plant upgrade order, marking the fourth consecutive quarter above $600 million. Nuclear-related activity exceeded $100 million for the third straight quarter, supporting the backlog and visibility into future revenue.
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Pricing Actions and Tariff Response: The company implemented two price increases—one annual and one targeted in March—to offset new tariff impacts. Management emphasized proactive engagement with customers and the use of change orders to reprice projects in the backlog where possible.
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Supply Chain Adaptability: Flowserve’s global manufacturing and sourcing flexibility was cited as a competitive advantage. The company is actively relocating production and sourcing to regions with lower tariff exposure, aiming to mitigate a potential $90–$100 million annualized gross tariff impact.
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Operational Excellence Programs: The ongoing 80-20 complexity reduction and Flowserve Business System initiatives have improved productivity and margins. Management reported that SKU rationalization reduced complexity at key sites, with expectations for further benefits by midyear.
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MOGAS Acquisition Integration: The integration of MOGAS, specializing in severe service valves, is ahead of schedule. Despite lighter project bookings, the aftermarket business remains strong, and cost synergies are materializing, contributing to gross margin improvements.
Drivers of Future Performance
Looking ahead, Flowserve’s performance will depend on its ability to navigate tariffs, maintain momentum in aftermarket and nuclear markets, and continue operational improvements.
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Tariff Mitigation Efforts: Management aims to offset increased costs through pricing, supply chain adjustments, and leveraging trade agreements. The timing of these actions versus tariff implementation remains a risk to margin performance in the second half of the year.
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Aftermarket and Nuclear Visibility: Continued strength in aftermarket services and nuclear sector orders provides near-term revenue certainty, especially given multi-quarter visibility on large nuclear projects.
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Operational Initiatives: Expansion of the 80-20 program and the Flowserve Business System is expected to drive further gross margin gains and working capital efficiencies, supporting the company’s goal of 100 basis points of operating margin expansion for the year.
Top Analyst Questions
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Andy Kaplowitz (Citigroup): Asked about the sustainability of high aftermarket bookings; management responded that while recent nuclear orders may not repeat, the elevated run rate and project funnel support continued strength unless macro conditions worsen.
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Mike Halloran (Baird): Inquired about Flowserve’s manufacturing footprint and pricing power; Rowe described regional manufacturing as a competitive advantage and outlined aggressive price actions to stay ahead of cost pressures.
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Deane Dray (RBC Capital Markets): Sought clarification on pricing dynamics between aftermarket and original equipment; management said aftermarket pricing is stickier due to lead times and urgency, while project repricing is enabled through updated contract terms.
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Nathan Jones (Stifel): Questioned visibility into the project pipeline and timing of tariff impacts; Rowe explained that large projects provide year-ahead visibility, with nuclear projects tracked two years out, and Schwetz noted that margin pressure from tariffs is expected to intensify in the second half.
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Joe Giordano (TD Cowen): Asked about clean energy project funding and macro assumptions in guidance; management said decarbonization remains active, with guidance based on current tariff and demand signals, and built-in contingencies for demand softness if conditions weaken.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will watch (1) the effectiveness of Flowserve’s tariff mitigation strategies and whether pricing actions hold amid potential customer resistance, (2) the pace of margin expansion and working capital improvement from operational programs, and (3) ongoing momentum in aftermarket and nuclear bookings, which underpin revenue visibility. Progress on MOGAS integration and additional supply chain adjustments will also be key markers.
Flowserve currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.8×. At this valuation, is it a buy or sell post earnings? The answer lies in our free research report.
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